Impact

Informing UK policy

Use of UKMOD to inform and influence policy making is growing. Below is a (non-exhaustive) list of publications and analyses of the UK tax-benefit system based on UKMOD:

Scottish Parliament Information Centre (SPICe)

• Challenging income tax decisions ahead for the Scottish Government (2022)

Scottish Government

• Bringing Hope, Building Futures: Tackling child poverty delivery plan 2026-2031 – annex 5: Cumulative Impact Assessment (2026)
• Scottish Budget 2026 to 2027: distributional analysis (2026)
• International analysis of child poverty – UKMOD/EUROMOD modelling (2025)
• Child poverty modelling: update (2025)
• Scottish Budget 2025 to 2026: distributional analysis (2024)
• Child poverty Cumulative Impact Assessment update (2024)
• Distributional analysis to accompany the 2024 Scottish Budget (2023)
• Take-up rates of Scottish benefits (2023)
• Child poverty progress report – update to measurement framework for social security (2023)
• Child poverty progress report – update to Cumulative Impact Assessment (2023)
• Distributional analysis to accompany the Medium Term Financial Strategy (2023)
• Tackling child poverty delivery plan 2022-2026 – annex 4: cumulative impact assessment (2022)
• Welfare reform – impact on households with children (2022)

Welsh Government

• Distributional analysis of devolved public spending in Wales (2024)
• Distributional analysis of devolved public spending in Wales (2023)
• Response to the cost of living crisis: distributional analysis (2022)

Greater London Authority

• Covid-19 and financial hardship in London (2021)

House of Commons Library

•  Taxation of state pension (2025)
• Distributional impact of the Government’s threshold freeze (2024)

Women’s Budget Group

• Women’s Budget Groups across four nations urge Chancellor to fully scrap two-child limit (2025)
• Pushed into Poverty: The Cost of Living on Maternity Leave (2025)
• Taxation and Gender – Pre-budget briefing (2024)
• Response to Spring Budget (2024)
• Response to Autumn Statement (2023)
• Social Security and Gender – Pre-budget briefing (2023)

Tony Blair Institute for Global Change

• Looking Beyond UK Budget 2024: Priority Reforms for 2025 (2024)
• Poorer Households Face the Worst of the Living Standards Shock (2022)
• Policy options to ease the cost of living crisis (2022)
• Living-Standards Crunch: Who’s Affected and How? (2022)

Others

• Liberal Democrats – Nearly 2 million to be hit by £9 billion “stealth tax bombshell” by the end of the decade (2025)
• Liberal Democrats – Up to 1 million pensioners in Tory seats to be dragged into paying income tax (2024)