SimPathsIT: A life course microsimulation framework for Italy

Authors

Patryk Bronka, Ashley Burdett, Daria Popova, Mariia Vartuzova, Matteo Richiardi

Publication Date

Aug 2025

Abstract

This report documents the application of the SimPaths dynamic microsimulation framework – originally developed with reference to the UK – to the Italian context. The report describes model structure and adaptation with respect to the UK template, the input data used, and discusses specification and parameter estimates for all the statistical processes included in the model, with respect to the first public release (July 2025). Validation of the model is performed by comparing simulations started in 2011 with observed survey data for the period 2011-2021, with overall good results. The report concludes with an application to the effects of population ageing on economic dependency ratios and fiscal sustainability.

Publication type

CeMPA Working Paper Series

Series Number

CEMPA8/25

Research areas

Family and gender, Health and wellbeing, Population changes and labour market dynamics, Tax and benefit systems

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