UKMOD Country Report 2020-2026 published

A new annual report for the UKMOD tax-benefit model has been published, covering the years 2020-2026. The report contains a description of the UK tax-benefit system, and how it is modelled in UKMOD, the free tax-benefit calculator developed and maintained at CeMPA. It also contains a description of the input data, and validation against external statistics. The […]

UKMOD B1.06 released

UKMOD B1.06 has been released, with policies updated to reflect the Spring Budget announcements and the new OBR forecasts. The main novelties included in the model are: Increase the maximum support available in Universal Credit for childcare costs to£951 (per month) for one child and £1,630 for two children from July 2023 and increases them […]

UKMOD B1.03 released

UKMOD B1.03 has been released, with policies updated to reflect the Scottish income tax policy proposal included in the Autumn 2022 Scottish budget statement. A new option has also been added to run focussed analysis for London. All registered users to versions B1.01 and B1.02 have been automatically given access to the new version, which […]

UKMOD B1.01 released

UKMOD B1.01 has been released, with policies updated to reflect the recent 2022 UK Autumn budget statement. UKMOD B1.01 is the first version of UKMOD with year specific policies divided into two groups, for faster loading and execution.  The model can be requested using the form available here: Accessing UKMOD – Centre for Microsimulation and […]

New UKMOD analysis quantifies implications for Scotland of changes to UK tax rates

The Scottish Parliament Information Centre (SPICe) has published a new analysis using UKMOD, the free tax-benefit calculator for the UK and its constituent nations developed by CeMPA, showing the impact for Scottish tax-payers of changes in the UK tax rates. Nicola Hudson, Senior Analyst in the Financial Scrutiny Unit at SPICe, shows how the UK […]

PhD position in “Microsimulation modelling of labour market dynamics and benefit recipiency in the UK economy”

CeMPA has opened a new three-year PhD position, sponsored by the UK Department of Work and Pensions (DWP), for research on dynamic microsimulation modelling of the UK economy. This is a unique opportunity to carry out research that will (1) significantly advance the academic field of dynamic microsimulation, and (2) be of immediate policy relevance, […]

UKMOD updated after the Chancellor’s U-turn on the 45% tax rate

UKMOD version A3.26, an intermediate version of UKMOD with updated policies and model parameters to account for the Kwasi Kwarteng’s reintroduction of the higher rate of income tax, has been released. UKMOD is the tax-benefit model for the UK and its constituent regions, developed and maintained at CeMPA. The model is freely available. All registered users […]

“Mini”-budget, maxi disparities redux: The U-turn is more of a diversion

A day after we published our analysis of the distributional consequences of the so-called “mini”-budget, the Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng announce a U-turn on the abolition of the higher rate of income tax (45%, for yearly incomes above £150,000). This was the most contentious and outrageous, at a time of a cost-of-living crisis, of the tax […]